Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003330 0.003719 0.004125 0.004578 0.005071 0.005588 0.006173
2024-10-06 0.002811 0.003372 0.003989 0.004715 0.005543 0.006452 0.007525
2024-10-13 0.002520 0.003182 0.003940 0.004863 0.005951 0.007184 0.008678
2024-10-20 0.002160 0.002860 0.003689 0.004733 0.005998 0.007471 0.009300
2024-10-27 0.001921 0.002654 0.003549 0.004706 0.006144 0.007854 0.010022
2024-11-03 0.001703 0.002449 0.003387 0.004631 0.006214 0.008134 0.010613
2024-11-10 0.001544 0.002304 0.003285 0.004617 0.006347 0.008483 0.011285
2024-11-17 0.001394 0.002158 0.003170 0.004574 0.006432 0.008765 0.011872
2024-11-24 0.001317 0.002104 0.003170 0.004677 0.006703 0.009285 0.012764
2024-12-01 0.001175 0.001946 0.003017 0.004564 0.006682 0.009422 0.013165
2024-12-08 0.001083 0.001853 0.002946 0.004555 0.006795 0.009731 0.013788
2024-12-15 0.001053 0.001848 0.003000 0.004720 0.007145 0.010356 0.014835
2024-12-22 0.000991 0.001794 0.002982 0.004786 0.007365 0.010821 0.015692
2024-12-29 0.000954 0.001776 0.003015 0.004925 0.007691 0.011437 0.016764
2025-01-05 0.000924 0.001766 0.003058 0.005078 0.008039 0.012087 0.017890
2025-01-12 0.000826 0.001637 0.002912 0.004944 0.007968 0.012158 0.018230
2025-01-19 0.000762 0.001559 0.002839 0.004915 0.008048 0.012435 0.018852
2025-01-26 0.000693 0.001467 0.002739 0.004838 0.008051 0.012602 0.019323
2025-02-02 0.000643 0.001404 0.002682 0.004824 0.008144 0.012895 0.019972
2025-02-09 0.000591 0.001334 0.002608 0.004779 0.008187 0.013116 0.020520
2025-02-16 0.000570 0.001321 0.002629 0.004885 0.008463 0.013675 0.021555
2025-02-23 0.000513 0.001233 0.002516 0.004769 0.008390 0.013725 0.021863
2025-03-02 0.000478 0.001185 0.002470 0.004760 0.008484 0.014018 0.022521